The National Safety Council urges drivers to remain cautious this Fourth of July by driving sober, buckling up, and observing speed limits.

NSC analysis estimates 410 people may die in motor vehicle crashes during the 2026 Independence Day holiday period, from 6 p.m. Thursday, July 2, to 11:59 p.m. Sunday, July 5.

The 90% confidence interval for the estimate of traffic deaths this holiday is 351 to 472.

The Independence Day holiday period varies between 1.25 and 4.25 days in length, depending on the day of the week the holiday falls.

In 2026, the holiday falls on a Saturday, so the Independence Day holiday period will be 3.25 days and extends from 6 p.m. Thursday, July 2 to 11:59 p.m. Sunday, July 5.

The last 3.25-day-long Independence Day holiday period occurred in 2025, resulting in an estimated 437 deaths.

Nonfatal medically consulted injuries resulting from crashes during the holiday period is estimated at 46,700, with a 90% confidence interval of 40,100 to 53,800.

The safety council estimates an additional 100 lives could be saved this holiday period if all vehicle occupants wear a seatbelt.

In addition, an estimated 38% of fatal traffic crashes involved an alcohol-impaired driver during Independence Day weekend, reinforcing the importance of a sober designated driver.

“As we prepare to commemorate our nation’s 250th anniversary, we have an opportunity to make this Independence Day one of the safest yet,” said Lorraine Martin, NSC CEO. “Every driver has the power to help prevent a tragedy by making simple, safe choices behind the wheel. Driving sober, slowing down, and staying focused on the road can help ensure more people spend this holiday weekend with family and friends rather than getting hurt or losing their lives.”