An update this week from hurricane researchers at Colorado State University indicates that the Atlantic will see above normal hurricane activity for the rest of the month.
There is a 50 percent chance of above-normal activity, a 40 percent chance of near normal activity, and a 10 percent chance of below normal hurricane activity.
The observation is based on analysis of hurricane formation during the same time, October 15-28, between 1966 and 2024.
According to CSU researchers, “the primary threat area for major hurricane formations during mid- to late October is in the western Caribbean.”
So far this year, there have been 12 named storms, with four (Erin, Gabrielle, Humberto, and Imelda) becoming hurricanes.
The Atlantic hurricane season ends November 30.
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