Researchers from Colorado State University have increased their forecast for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, now predicting a “well above average” season with five major hurricanes.
The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project team is now forecasting 20 named storms in 2022. Of those, researchers expect 10 to become hurricanes and five to reach major hurricane strength (at least a Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale) with sustained winds of 111 miles per hour or greater.
This forecast is a slight increase from the early April outlook, which predicted 19 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes. An average season sees 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
CSU said there is a 76 percent chance that a major hurricane could make landfall along the U.S. coastline; the average for the last century is 52 percent.
The CSU team will issue forecast updates on July 7 and Aug. 4.