Insured losses of $44 billion from COVID-19 so far represent the third-largest cost to insurers of any catastrophe, behind only Hurricane Katrina and the 9/11 attacks, insurance broker Howden said on Tuesday.
However, initial projections of $100 billion-plus for COVID-19 insured losses now look “improbable,” Howden said in a report on reinsurance renewals.
That prediction was made by industry specialists in the early days of the pandemic nearly two years ago, as events were canceled and businesses forced to shut down across the world.
Insurers have since excluded COVID-19 from many policies.
“There’s only so much event cancellation coverage out there. There’s only so much civil action coverage out there. And when you get to $40 billion, that’s pretty much exhausting what was underwritten,” said David Flandro, head of analytics at Howden.
Property-catastrophe reinsurance rates rose 9 percent year-on-year on Jan. 1, marking their biggest annual rise since 2009, Howden also said in the report.
Global property-catastrophe reinsurance rates rose by 10.8 percent on average this year, reinsurance broker Guy Carpenter said in a separate report this week.
Gallagher Re said earlier on Tuesday that some European property reinsurance rates rose by more than 50 percent after the region suffered record insured losses last year from natural catastrophes such as floods and storms.
(Reporting by Carolyn Cohn; Editing by Jason Neely and Jan Harvey)